US President Obama taps Bernanke for 2nd term as US Fed Chief

August 25, 2009

US President Barack Obama will nominate Ben Bernanke to a 2nd term as Chairman of the US Federal Reserve Tuesday, keeping him on the job of guiding the world’s largest economy out of its deepest downturn since the . Bernanke, whose appointment to a new, four-year term as head of the US central bank must be confirmed by the , has flooded crippled with hundreds of billions of US$s in Fed and stepped in to attempt rescues of failing financial institutions such as Bear Stearns and AIG. Obama’s Democrats control the , but Bernanke has faced criticism from lawmakers of both parties who say he has gone too far in extending Fed support that will be difficult to unwind, threatening future inflation. have generally given Bernanke high marks on the job and had widely expected him to be kept on by Obama, although the announcement was not expected until later this year.

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Global recession coming to an end

August 10, 2009

Leading indicators now suggest that the global recession is coming to an end and the world is on the road to a policy-induced recovery. “The OECD’s composite leading indicators signal that the worst is over,” Tu Packard said in the global report released Friday by Moody’s .com, the research unit of Moody’s Corporation, which is independent of Moody’s Investors Service. The OECD refers to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. Packard said he saw significant improvement in the world economic map in July, as compared with that in January. Ample provided by central banks has helped the and credit conditions and bank has been improving, he said. In Asia, China and India are again picking up growth momentum and are the first to recover from the impacts of the global financial turmoil and economic slowdown. Indonesia and Bangladesh are still members of the expanding growth club. Turkey and South Korea, which enjoyed broad-based growth in the second quarter, are projected to have an early recovery. South Korea and other industrialized Asian economies are also benefiting from a strong recovery in the electronics industry. But Japan remains in the slowdown phase, still troubled with high unemployment and massive overcapacity in manufacturing. Read more

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The world is in a state of “PURE PANIC”

October 13, 2008

All of us at StockPreacher.com have been working tirelessly to keep our members up to date with breaking information from across the markets during this historic and troubled time. Our team has been expanding our information base as we have recruited analysts from around the world to provide current market forecasts and summaries of the days and weeks occurrences. There is an example of this on the left hand side of this report, titled:  “Some Wisdom from a Reader: The world belongs to those who adapt.” It is written by Paul Ebeling Jr. better known as the Red Roadmaster, a US market analyst and commentator.

Before we can make a judgement decision as to what our financial future holds, we have to know two things: What has happened so far and where we currently stand financially. Investor sentiment has reached a level of pure panic. We have all just witnessed one of the worst weeks in the history of the global markets. First off: The Dow is off the rails and completely out of control. On Friday the Dow Jones Industrial average took us on a 1,000 point swing. This is the largest intraday swing in the history of the exchange. The index recovered from almost a 700 point drop, surging more than 300 points into the green, before finally closing down 128 points at 8,451. Like a tired, old accountant, filing his last quarterlies before declaring bankruptcy, the Dow’s tally at the end of the week was a loss of 18.2%. This is the steepest weekly decline since 1914. The TSX Composite lost 16% as oil and many other commodities plummeted. The volatility being displayed in these markets has reached levels never predicted.

The door to the credit market is temporarily shut. Government officials from around the world are doing their best to open it, but have yet to succeed. We are at a standstill because banks are afraid to lend money. There is next to no available capital and everyone seems to be waiting for the other guy to make the first move. If everyone waits, nothing happens. Demand for commodities has tail-spinned into an absolute nose dive. What correlates with a widespread decrease in commodities? The increase in value of the US dollar. The greenback is running high right now for a combination of reasons; none make much sense. The euro has fallen off because of a deteriorating economic environment. The Canadian dollar is losing its value at a feverish pace, declining multiple percentage points last week. To be more specific, the Canadian dollar had the largest single day and weekly decline in 37 years against the greenback. Look for Canada’s trade to increase with the decrease in value of the loonie. Although a correction in the commodity markets may occur, demand for many of these metals will continue to be very strong out of Asia.
Global demand for commodities is being cut off because there is no influx of capital. This will not be remedied until buyers feel protected and aren’t worried about sharing the same fate as the investment bank, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. This fear that is dominating the markets is justified, to a point. Investors are always most fearful and irrational right before things calm down and the markets turn around.
A market strategist from Wells Capital Management, Mr. Jim Paulsen made some very insightful comments recently. He stated that, “The US Federal Reserve and the US Treasury made things worse by every day coming out with a different emergency policy.” He went on to say that, policy makers should stand down for now and make the case that the series of rescue measures introduced need time to work. He then stated, “They’ve been looking like chickens with their heads cut off. It makes you wonder who’s even running this country. Is it policy leaders or the Dow Jones Industrial Average.”
As investors, we have to be concerned with the fact that banks are not lending to each other. This is a problem above all others. It is affecting every aspect of the market. The Group of Seven (consisting of the finance ministers from the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Japan, Italy and Canada) met Saturday morning with President Bush at the White House. On Friday the G7 agreed on a framework for addressing the crisis, but gave no details as to exactly how they will go about averting a global recession.

Japanese Finance Minister Shoichi Nakagawa expressed hope that investors worldwide will ultimately be in favour of the Group of Seven Nations’ decisions on combating the global financial crisis.

Until liquidity comes back and capital is easily attained, the markets will underperform and rampant fear will be the norm. There is a light at the end of the tunnel. The old saying, ‘It’s always darkest before the sun rises’ is true. In the meantime, this volatility has provided opportunities galore. We encourage everyone to review their portfolios and make decisions as if you are the CEO of your own company – not just another irrational and scared investor.
All the best with your investments,
StockPreacher

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