The rally in Gold has the US Fed to thank

January 7, 2009

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The US Fed’s interest rate cut has given a value shine in the eyes of investors. bullion investments do not pay interest and in today investment climate look pretty good when compared to US T Bills, which also are paying zero interest now. The spot price of has climbed above $870 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up about 20% from its October 2008 lows.The world’s currency markets reaction to the US Fed’s recent interest rate cuts started a rally in , as investors weigh the benefits of owning the Yellow Metal vs. U.S. Treasuries and the US$. It is unlikely that the world’s central bankers will stop stimulating their economies by printing money and doing whatever it takes to restore growth and confidence, no matter if that policy causes rampant inflation. . With that in mind, do not expect this rally in to be a short one because the Demand/Supply fundamentals in the market hold the promise of more gains ahead.

Popularity: 7% [?]

Safety in Gold

January 2, 2009

Safety

is a investments that thrives during times of struggle and strife, investors buy because of its intrinsic value.

Just after of 9/11, the financial markets tanked; the DJIA Jones lost 15%, the NASDAQ lost 16%, the S&P 500 lost 12%, and went up 8.5%. Now the analyst’s expectations are that prices rise significantly along with the tensions in India and Pakistan and the Middle East escalate. Fully 20% of the world’s is bought in India.

Further, there is the demand/supply equation and the expectation of inflationary pressure in 2009 as the bail out money is printed and the US$ strength weakens.

Popularity: 24% [?]

Is a big upward revaluation of Gold in the US Fed’s rescue plans?

December 22, 2008

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Former Federal Reserve Governor Lyle Gramley hinted on Canadian television last week that a big upward revaluation of may figure heavily in the Fed’s attempt to rescue the US economy.

This comment suggests that the issue is in the Fed’s hands, but if the shorts on Comex get squeezed and the Comex defaults on physical delivery, the market, not the Fed, will decide the true value of .

So, with that hint in the air, investors should take physical delivery of their and not leverage positions. Do this and you will put more pressure on the shorts who have sold that they are unable to deliver. Whether there is a massive squeeze on the Comex in December or February is irrelevant.

The rush is on.

When becomes unavailable, prices will have to go up by multiples, and the hammered mining sector will reach new highs. Thus, when is not available in bullion form, the next best thing for investors will be companies that mine it.

Popularity: 51% [?]

The Bull Market in Gold

December 16, 2008

World in the retail and in the sector is now all-time highs, however estimates suggest that the world will only produce 76.8MM troy ozs during 2008 marking a 9% decline in world production since 2001 as the in is growing and in a up-trend. The market has already pushed prices over 300% higher since 2001, and now with the world’s for beginning to significantly outpace supplies, higher prices are predicted by . During Q3 there was a 10.5MM oz deficit (US$8.5B) in world’s supply and of . Global increased over 50% since Q2 while supplies dropped 64% year-on-year.

Popularity: 57% [?]

Hot Topic: In Deflation Gold will rise.

December 3, 2008

Deflation is a particularly pernicious economic condition that is worse than inflation. Prices decline in deflation, meaning that a person with cash sees the buying power of that cash increase, on the other hand the owner of assets with declining values sees the cash value of those assets decline. will rise.

Popularity: unranked [?]

Some thoughts on last weeks markets + Gold and Crude Oil

November 23, 2008

This is not a investor market, it is a , bull markets do not have this kind of volatility. This is a day trader scenario, as the proposed action by “O” and the Clinton Gang (they will surely clash with one another) has on edge, and they are selling practically everything, no matter what, the good and bad companies, today they bought on technical issues.

The American voter will be very angry when he comes out of the ether with fewer jobs, hyper inflation, devalued money, and home sweet home not so sweet. Or Worse Stagflation or Deflation. There will be trouble here in the USA, the UK, the EU as the developing lead the recovery.

As we also know, the global economic slowdown is dragging down and stock markets worldwide. And Chinese stocks have taken some big hits as question the sustainability of China’s economic growth.

In fact, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index rallied dramatically starting on October 28 through November 10, and gained 32% during this up move. But in the past 10 days, the Hang Seng index has retraced these steps and lost nearly 17%.

Now, there’s no doubt that China will feel the repercussions of the global economic slowdown. But there is little doubt in my mind that China will still be the fastest growing major economy next year, as it prepares for the huge Shanghai world exhibition (bigger than the Olympics by at least half). They will have a party leading the world in growth.

I do believe that things are very fragile at best now. Gun and ammo sales are escalating here in the US. The American conservatives are angry, Red is now Fire Red not Cool Blue.
Here is my position on O and the O Administration:

In a couple of months the simple campaign talk will meet head on realities of governing, and President Obama will confront the truth about his foreign policy goals + perhaps some unexpected crises too.

1) America’s financial crisis will severely limit his power, and strain the overseas alliances he says he want to nurture. We know that he popular abroad, but as President he must defend U.S. interests and that will crash head on with those of other nations.
Think about the European Union and China. Obama needs Europe’s backing to stabilize Afghanistan, combat terrorism and impede the spread of nuclear weapons, and he needs firmer ties with China to shore up U.S. interests in volatile South Asia and slow Global Warming, but he risks alienating both powers if his administration erects trade barriers to protect American jobs, an imperative he stressed in the campaign. See what I mean so far Brother.

2) Even with wide international support, it may be impossible for Obama to win the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, prevent Iran from building a nuclear weapon, broker peace between Arabs and Israelis or stabilize African countries beset by civil strife.

Again, the realities are much, much more complex than Obama presented as a candidate.

and on the Week.

sought havens amid sharp falls in global equity markets sendling up 6.9% on Friday, to trade at $796.35 oz, its highest level since October 21, bringing its gains on the week to 7.5%
Nymex January West Texas Intermediate managed to finish 51 cents higher at $49.93 a barrel yesterday, but was still down 12.5 per cent on the week. ICE January Brent rose $1.11 to $49.19 yesterday, but was also down 14.6% on the week.

Popularity: unranked [?]