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Gold futures on the COMEX Division of the New York Mercantile Exchange ended higher for the fourth session on Friday, buoyed by the record low interest rate and a weak dollar. Silver and platinum went up, too. Gold price for August delivery gain US$1.50 (0.2%) closing at US$ 941oz. It is the first time for the yellow metal stands above US$940 in almost three weeks despite profit-taking ahead of weekend pared the gains after the contract touched its intraday high of US$949. Savvy market observers say that Gold’s appeal of hedging inflation continued being fueled after the Fed Reserve decided on Wednesday to keep the benchmark interest rate at a record low level between zero and 0.25% “for an extended period.” In response to a report released by People’s Bank of China, the US$ went down and provided some bullish support to the precious metal earlier in the session. The Chinese central bank reiterated that it will push the reform of the international currency system to make it more diversified and lessen US$’s role as the world’s reserve currency. September Silver finished at US$14.156 oz, up 12.4 cents. October Platinum rose US$13.70 to US$1,210.70 oz.

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Gold may target a record $1,250 an ounce as a continuation head-and-shoulders pattern may be forming within a longer-term trend, Standard Bank Group Ltd. said, citing trading patterns. A break and close above $1,050.40 “provides warning that an important breakout” has occurred, Darran Grabham, the bank’s technical analyst, wrote in a note yesterday. A head-and- shoulders pattern is formed when a commodity makes three consecutive peaks, with the middle being the highest. It forms during a series of increases over time. “The positive implications are substantial, with the minimum objective situated at US$1,250,” Grabham wrote. “On the downside, gold weakness through $864 turns the outlook bearish, and the weaker trend could then continue towards US$802.”

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While bank stocks have been battered, it is the sector’s bonds and their spreads over government debt, that could provide early clues of an upturn. “The best news is that non-financial high-grade corporate debt has been behaving a lot better, but financial sector debt needs to be better bid,” said John Haynes, strategist at Rensburg Sheppard in London. He said a directional change in the iBoxx financial index, a benchmark for bonds from financial companies, was crucial. European financial bond prices have fallen almost 17% on average this year, the iBoxx financials index shows, suggesting investors are giving the sector a wide berth. Haynes said he was also watching the Platinum-to-Gold ratio. Platinum has a variety of industrial uses, notably in cars, while Gold is boosted by its safe-haven allure. The ratio of the two metals, in effect a ratio of economic growth expectations to investor fear, has moved decisively in the direction of fear. Platinum prices were double the level of gold in February last year, but now the ratio is close to 1 to 1.”You look at everything and try and work as you used to, said Fortis’ Gijsels. “But should have an open mind and understand that market internals have changed.”

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The right-wing Swiss People’s Party (SVP) called on Saturday for retaliation against the United States over a U.S. tax probe into the country’s biggest bank UBS that threatens prized banking secrecy. The populist SVP, the country’s biggest party, said Switzerland should not take in any detainees from the US prison for terrorism suspects at Guantanamo Bay in Cuba, which the Swiss government said last month it could consider helping shut the camp down.

Switzerland should also reconsider its policy of representing the United States in countries where it has no diplomatic presence, the parliamentary SVP said in a statement. The SVP said Gold stored by the Swiss National Bank in the United States should be repatriated and Switzerland should ban the sale of US funds in the country to protect Swiss investors after the failure of U.S. regulators. The SVP has one minister in the seven-member Swiss government which is made up of the biggest four parties, but its populist policies have shaken up usually consensual Swiss politics.

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For the first time since last March due to safe haven buying. Silver and platinum also rallied. Gold price for April delivery went up US$25.70oz or 2.6%, to settle at US$1,002.20 oz. hitting US$1,007.70 on the day. March Silver closed at US$14.49 oz +. 555 pennies. April platinum rose US$19.20 to 1,095.70 oz. Gold’s hedge appeal was strengthened as US stock market tanked.

The DJIA continued to decline sharply on Friday after closing Thursday at its lowest level since 2002. Markets in Germany, France, the U.K. and Japan also dropped, and investors flocked to precious metals as a safe haven amid tumbling stock markets. US$ vs. the Euro went down sharply on Friday after trading up for several trading days, erasing most of this week’s gains helping Gold to top US$1,000 oz.

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Investors are buying record amounts of Gold bars and coins, shunning risky assets for the relative safety of bullion amid renewed fears about the health of the global financial system. The US Mint sold 92,000 ozs of its popular American Eagle coin in January, almost four times that which it sold a year ago and more than it shipped during the whole of the first half of 2007. Other countries’ mints have also reported strong sales. “Large purchases of coins are perhaps the ultimate sign of safe-haven gold buying,” said John Reade, a precious metals strategist at UBS.

Inflows into Gold-backed exchange traded funds also surged in January 2009, pushing their bullion holdings to an all-time high of 1,317 tonnes. Last month’s flows of 105 tonnes were above September’s previous record of 104 tonnes, and absorbed about half the world’s Gold mine output for January, said Barclays Capital. “We estimate that investment demand [into Gold] could double in 2009 compared to 2007,” said Mr. Reade. “Purchases of physical Gold have jumped over the past six months as investors’ fears about the current financial crisis … have intensified.” The move into Gold is being driven by the very rich, with bankers saying that some clients are hoarding Gold in their vaults. UBS and Goldman Sachs said last week that investor hoarding would drive prices back above US $1,000 oz.

Last Monday Gold was trading at US$892 oz. and closed last Friday at US$942.20 + US$ 50.20 (5.6%) on the week. Traders and analysts said jewelry demand, historically the backbone of gold consumption, had collapsed under the weight of the high prices. Sharp falls in demand in the key markets of India, Turkey and the Middle East have capped the potential of any price rally. But the lack of jewelers demand has not discouraged investors. Jonathan Spall, director of commodities at Barclays Capital in London, said: “We have seen more new enquiries about investing in gold so far this year than during the whole 2008.”

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