US President Obama reception in Europe

April 9, 2009

At the end of ’s press conference following the Group of 20 Summit last Thursday, a large crowd of did something never do: they gave a politician a standing ovation.

In a week that began with a flurry of meetings between the president and his counterparts from China, Russia, , , Britain and others, and ends with Saturday’s NATO summit, the media’s uncharacteristic behavior might easily be forgotten. However, it will likely linger because it matched a sincere response over and above the supplication shown towards any occupant of the White House by the of the G-20 countries.

The same cerebral and low-key approach used by President in dealings with fellow came out in often lengthy, but nuanced, answers to questions. “He actually answered the questions he was asked,” says one startled Asian reporter. President he is being accorded high ratings from almost every quarter barring his conservative critics in the . In part, this comes because of the contrast Mr strikes with the widely derided George W. Bush. Partly it has been prompted by the celebrity cult the new leader has generated in the . But most of all, it is about Mr ’s unusual approach to . “I have come to listen, not to lecture,” he said several times this week.

Much of the time he appeared to mean it. The least expected endorsement came from Russia’s president Medvedev, who until he met President had developed a taste for rubbing Americans the wrong way. But last Wednesday the Russian president unexpectedly invited him to visit this July, observing that Moscow’s warm weather that month would reflect the new warmth in -Russian relations, Mr Medvedev said: “After this meeting, I am far more optimistic about the successful development of our relations and would like to thank President for this opportunity.” Mark-to-Market Rule Gives More Clarity

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The G-20 Recap

April 7, 2009

Last weeks long awaited Summit Communique lifted the hopes of the world’s investors and leaves a lot of work to be done going forward by the Group. The language of the was vague and optimistic

The Highlights:
On Resources: The G-20 announced US$50B for low-income countries, and an additional US$100B in for Development .

On Reform: Developing countries will have greater representation in the international financial institutions and that election to World Bank/ leadership will be based on merit.
On Regulation: The G-20 announced regulation of illicit tax havens.

As with all world summits, the G-20, just stated the goals and heralded the agreements of the parity countries leaving the hard specific work to be done.

The powers that be need to work to ensure that money going to developing countries is given as grants, not loans that trigger another crisis.

There remains much work to be done on the in the interests of developing countries at the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen later this year.

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THE TRAUMATIZED WESTERN FINANCIAL INDUSTRY

March 30, 2009

Since the World’s credit seized up on September 8, 2009 many corporations are either cutting costs, waiting for government money, or preparing for bankruptcy, as banks are reluctant to lend to all but the most credit worthy and then at unconventionally high interest rates.

In the center of the storm lies the US, UK and EU financial industry where it all started.
The US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation said last week that the nation’s banks and thrifts lost US$32.1B in the Q-4 Y 2008, the first quarterly deficit in 18 yrs, compared with the US$575MM profit in Q-4 Y 2007. The industry’s net income for Y 2008 plunged from US$16.1B to US$10.2 B for the period.

In the US eighteen federally insured banks have failed so far this year. Last year the number was 25, more than the total number of the previous five years, and up from only three in 2007.
Shares of Citigroup Inc., once the most powerful U.S. bank, have fallen below 1 dollar this month. Pummeled by the , the group has lost more than 98 % of its value from its peak in October 2007, and is down more than 95 % from a year ago.

The (AIG), covered almost daily in www..com’s Stock Talk, reported this month that it lost US$ 61.7B in Q-4 Y 2009, the largest corporate loss in history. AIG has benefited since from more than US$170B in federal rescue funds with more likely needed and to come.

HSBC Holdings PLC, the largest bank in Europe, early this month reported a 70% drop in its Y 2008 profit and said it would cut 6,100 jobs as it closes its consumer loan business in the United States. It also announced that it would cut its dividend and not pay bonuses to top executives.

In the US, the DJIA sank below 6,800 on March 3, its lowest close since May 1997, losing more than 50% from its highest level in October 2007. Since then the S&P 500 has staged a 19.8% rally off of its lows in the same frame.

On March 23 when the were surprised by the US government’s latest plan on clearing bad bank and a larger-than-expected rise in existing home sales, the three main indexes all surged more than 6.5% on the day.

Some Economists suggest that has yet to bottom out, and the real economy continues to slip as the global economic situation deteriorates.

Therefore, stimulus spending, market confidence, financial regulation and free trade will be key issues at the of the World’s leading developing and developed economies next week in .

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G20 pledges to restore global growth

March 17, 2009

The world’s leading finance ministers and central bank governors pledged last Saturday “to take whatever action is necessary until growth is restored,” suggesting that further action on monetary policy, fiscal stimulus and regulatory reform would be introduced in the months to come. Although the meeting ended without specific new commitments and no country or central bank would be forced to change any existing policy in light of the communique’, the participants representing 85% of the world’s economic output said they were pleased by the spirit of cooperation among the Group of 20 leading and economies.

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