The U.S. economy shrank in the Y 2008 Q-4 at its fastest rate since 1982 after a massive decline in inventories held by companies, according to official figures released on Friday.
Economists said that given bleak near-term prospects for consumption and investment, the US faced its worst economic downturn since the second world war, with even the US$787B stimulus plan signed by President Barack Obama earlier this month promising little immediate relief. “Finally the GDP data have caught up to the severity of the recession and, unfortunately, we expect the first quarter report to show similar weakness to the fourth quarter,” wrote an economist.
Updated data showed US gross domestic product contracting at an annualized rate of 6.2% in Y 2008 Q-4, below both the first estimate of a 3.8% c fall and economists’ predictions of a revision to a 5.4% decline. The biggest reason for the contraction was a revision to inventories, which are estimated to have fallen by US$19.9B rather than up by US $6.2B, shaving 1.1% points off the final figure.
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