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Trading Review for Sunrise Senior Living Inc. (SRZ)

October 19, 2009

Sunrise Senior Living Inc. (NYSE: SRZ)

Sunrise Senior Living Inc. (SRZ) manages more than 415 communities located in the United States, Canada, Germany and the United Kingdom.  The Company’s combined capacity of approximately 42,000 units includes facilities of independent living, assisted living, care for individuals with Alzheimer’s, as well as nursing and rehabilitative services facilities.

Founded in 1981, the Company is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

Share Statistics (20-Oct-09)

FY

2007

FY

2008

%

Chg

Q2 2008

Q2 2009

%

Chg

Symbol

SRZ

Revenue, $Mn

1,583

1,702

7.5%

411.3

380.9

-7.4%

Current price

$5.31

Gross marg.

8.10%

-9.11%

-221%

11.8%

9.69%

-24.1%

52wk Range:

$0.27 – 6.63

Oper. margin

-14.2%

-22.9%

73.5%

-6.9%

-11.3%

52.1%

Avg Vol (3m):

2,005,710

Net margin

-4.44%

-25.8%

525%

-7.7%

-21.5%

157.2%

Market Cap.

262.25M

Dil. Shares Outst.

50.62M

EPS, $

1.066

-3.574

-435%

-0.122

-0.222

82.0%

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Financial Summary

Financial Strength (16-Oct-2009) Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 0.42 1.52 2.52 0.76
Current Ratio (MRQ) 0.42 1.64 3.03 0.91
Long-Term Debt to Equity(MRQ) 42.73 77.24 25.27 104.42
Total Debt to Equity (MRQ) 1,284.67 92.40 33.11 151.00

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Analyst Consensus

One analyst polled by Thomson Reuters rate shares of SRZ a “Hold.”

Analyst Recommendations and Revisions

1-5 Linear Scale Current

1 Month
Ago

2 Month
Ago

3 Month
Ago

(1) BUY 0 0 0 0
(2) OUTPERFORM 0 0 0 0
(3) HOLD 1 1 1 1
(4) UNDERPERFORM 0 0 0 0
(5) SELL 0 0 0 0
No Opinion 1 1 1 1
Mean Rating 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00

Source: Reuters.com

Investment Highlights

During the first two quarters of 2009, Company management has continued to execute its strategy of the past two years of selling non-core assets, unprofitable properties, as well as widening gross and net margins through efficiencies and reduced administration functions.

The Company had $37 million in cash for the quarter ended June 30, 2009, compared with $29.5 million for the equivalent quarter last year.  Management expects its cash balances and cash flow to be sufficient to fund operation through December 2; however, scheduled maturities of $138.9 million due within 12 months, of which $79.1 million is due in the second half of 2009 and $59.8 million in the first six months of 2010, will necessitate the sale of additional assets to raise the needed funds.

Some of the Company’s long-term debt, totaling $386.0 million, is presently in default, including $190.2 million relating to the Company’s German communities and $195.8 million in other covenants elsewhere.  Management is seeking buyers of some assets through venture partners and other third parties to remain solvent.

The Company also intends to divest from 16 land parcels estimated to be worth $62.7 million with related debt obligations totaling $34.3 million—some of which is in default.  Moreover, the Company intends to sell a building and two construction sites at an estimated carrying value of $25.0 million.

The Company is presently seeking buyers of a portfolio of 22 assets with an estimated total value of $185.4 million and associated debt of $173.6 million.

In January of 2009, the Company defaulted on its debt relating to its Fountains portfolio, and expects to be terminated as managers of the property of these 16 communities.

The Company announced a plan in May 2009 to reorganize its corporate cost structure, including cutting costs in administration, vendors, consultants and headquarter space.  Under the plan, a total of $20 million will be cut and require 150 positions to be eliminated.  SRZ reported that 71 positions have been since eliminated, with 77 positions left to be cut by the first quarter of 2010.

Most Recent Company News

On October 16, the Company announced that it intends to sell 21 assisted living communities in 11 states for $204 million to BLC Acquisitions (NYSE: BKD), the largest capitalized operator of assisted living homes for the elderly.

The Company anticipates receiving $60 million, which will be used to pay down some debt and for working capital to fund continued operations.  The transaction is scheduled for November 16.

Technical Analysis

srz

Source: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=srz

SRZ trades above its 13-day moving average. This bullish sign is significant because the 13-day moving average is trending up as well following a breakout at the $2.50 level.

The MACD for SRZ currently indicates a moderately bearish signal. Although, the MACD is below the signal line, a 9-day moving average, the MACD is above the critical level of 0, which implies that the underlying moving averages are trending higher.  Overall, the chart is bullish.

Comparative Analysis

Company Name

Ticker

Price per

Mrkt. Cap.

P/E

P/S

Oct-20-2009

symbol

Share, $

$ Mn

2009

2010

2009

2010

Assisted Living Concepts Inc.

ALC

22.24

264.87

n/a

15.31

1.17

n/a

Brookdale Senior Living Inc.

BKD

19.96

2,340

n/a

n/a

1.20

n/a

Five Star Quality Care Inc.

FVE

4.00

142.81

5.52

7.46

0.12

n/a

Long-term Care Median

14.62

n/a

0.41

n/a

Sunrise Senior Living Inc.

SRZ

5.31

262.25

n/a

n/a

0.16

n/a

Source: Thomson Financial

Insider Trading Activity

NET SHARE PURCHASE ACTIVITY

Inside Purchases – Last 6 Months

Shares

Transaction

Purchases

n/a

0

Sales

n/a

0

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

n/a

0

Total Insiders Shares Held

5.46M

n/a

% Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

0.0%

n/a

Source: Thomson Financial

Net Institutional Purchases – Prior Qtr to Latest Qtr

Shares

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

(25,500,000)

% Change in Institutional Shares Held

488.4%

Source: Thomson Financial

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Popularity: unranked [?]

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