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Trading Outlook for SciClone Pharmaceuticals Inc. (SCLN)

September 7, 2009 Bookmark and Share

SciClone Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: SCLN)

SciClone Pharmaceuticals Inc. (SCLN) is a global biopharmaceutical company engaged in the development and commercialization of therapeutics for the treatment of cancer and infectious diseases. The Company’s primary product is ZADAXIN, its own brand of thymalfasin or thymosin alpha 1, and is sold in more than 30 countries for the treatment of hepatitis B (HBV) and hepatitis C (HCV), certain cancers and as a vaccine adjuvant. SCLN develops a pipeline of phase 2 and 3 drug candidates, which includes thymalfasin for stage IV melanoma, RP101 for the treatment of pancreatic cancer, and SCV-07 for the delay of the onset of severe oral mucositis in patients receiving chemoradiation therapy for the treatment of cancers of the head and neck and for the treatment of HCV. In China, the Company is pursuing regulatory approval for DC Bead™ as an embolic agent for the treatment of liver cancer.

Founded in 1989, the Company is headquartered in Foster City, California.

Share Statistics

08-Sept-09)

2007

2008

%

Chg

Q2 ‘08

Q2 ‘09

% Chg

Symbol

SCLN

Revenue, $Mn

37.06

54.11

46.02%

13.8

22.0

59.4%

Current price

$49.62

Gross marg.

83.23%

52wk Range:

0.63-5.33

Oper. margin

8.10%

-16.17%

33.94%

Avg Vol (3m):

561,242

Net margin

7.60%

-15.43%

33.40%

Market Cap.

221.72M

Dil. Shares Outst.

46.29M

EPS, $

-0.216

-0.176

18.51%

-0.007

0.159

2171.4%

Source: Reuters.com, SEC Filings.

Financial Summary

For the second quarter of 2009, revenue grew 59% to $22.0 million compared with the same period in 2008, attributable to higher demand for Zadaxin related to the H1N1 flu virus, as well as the Company’s further penetration in the Chinese market, and a modest increase in prices from the 2008 to 2009 periods.

The Company’s net income totaled $7.3 million, or $0.16 per share, compared with a net loss of $0.3 million, or $0.01 per share for the same period last year. For the six months ended June 30, 2009, net income was $7.4 million, or $0.16 per share, compared with a net loss of $6.0 million or $0.13 per share for the same period last year.

While the Company’s revenue grew 46.02% from $37.06 million to $54.11 million, year on year, it has also reduced the cost of goods sold, selling, general and administrative expenses and debt expenses (all as percentages of sales), resulting to narrowed profitability losses from -$9.95 m to -$8.35 million. Cash reserves fell by $4.14 million last year. However, the Company earned more from the sale of existing assets than it spent on the purchase of new assets, as reflected by its Cash Flow from Investing of $572,000.


Analyst Consensus

Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect shares of SCLN to “Outperform.” The details of the analysts polled are as follows:

Analyst Recommendations and Revisions

1-5 Linear Scale

Current

1 Month
Ago

2 Month
Ago

3 Month
Ago

(1) BUY

1

1

1

0

(2) OUTPERFORM

2

2

2

2

(3) HOLD

0

0

0

0

(4) UNDERPERFORM

0

0

0

0

(5) SELL

0

0

0

0

No Opinion

0

0

0

0

Mean Rating

1.67

1.67

1.67

2.00

Investment Highlights

Overview

SCLN engages in the development and commercialization of therapeutics to treat life-threatening diseases. Having seen a promising therapy in the areas of cancer and viral infectious diseases, the Company acquired the rights to test and sell Thymosin, with a focus on overseas drug distribution. Under the brand name ZadaxinTM, SCLN began trials throughout Asia, and in 1995, the drug received its first approval in China for monotherapy treatment of Hepatitis B. Soon after commencing sales in 1996, other approvals followed, and the Company eventually acquired the rights for Europe and the United States. It is now sold in more than 25 countries for the treatment of hepatitis B (HBV) and hepatitis C (HCV), certain cancers, and as a vaccine adjuvant.

Looking to expand its product pipeline, the Company is developing thymalfasin for stage IV melanoma, for which the Company has reached agreement with the FDA on the design of a phase 3 trial, RP101 for the treatment of pancreatic cancer, and SCV-07 for the delay of onset of severe oral mucositis in patients receiving chemoradiation therapy for the treatment of cancers of the head and neck and for the treatment of HCV. In addition, SCLN has exclusive commercialization and distribution rights to DC Bead™ in China where the product is under regulatory review. The Company also has commercialization and distribution rights to an anti-nausea drug ondansetron RapidFilmTM in the China and Vietnam, for which the Company is seeking regulatory approval. Most of the Company’s drug candidates are in the second phase of development.

The Company has also partnered with Sigma-Tau to determine the potential of Zadaxin to enhance the immune response to novel pandemic flu H1N1 vaccines. In Italy and 12 other countries, Zadaxin is approved for influenza vaccine enhancement inimmuno-compromised patients or as an immune stimulant.

The Company mentioned in its latest 10-Q that its current cash position, $6 million available line of credit, and the profit margin from its product sales provide the financial resources for continued growth in its international business and for development of its pipeline of phase 2 and 3 drug candidates.

Growth Opportunity

Currently, the Company’s primary market is China. SCLN has established a longstanding presence in China since the launch of Zadaxin as a treatment for hepatitis B in 1996. In China, the hepatitis B virus drug market is forecast to more than double by 2012, from $340 million in 2007 to $800 million in 2012, according to report at Biospectrumasia.com. This is akin to the endemic status of the disease in the country, as recognized by the World Health Organization (WHO). There is an estimated 130 million Chinese infected with the disease, which is about 10% of China’s total population and about one-third of the world’s cases. By 2012, the country is also expected to rank among the top five global pharmaceutical markets.

SCLN also wants to address China’s need for liver cancer treatments. It is reported that more than half of liver cancer cases worldwide occur in the country. The Company is currently pursuing regulatory approval for DC Bead as an embolic agent for the treatment of liver cancer. The Company mentioned in its latest 10-Q that it is required to conduct a small local trial to supplement data obtained from a previous study performed in Hong Kong by Dr. Ronnie Poon for China’s State Food and Drug Administration (SFAD) to complete its review.

The Company expects to receive regulatory approval for DC Bead in the second half of 2010.

With its robust drug development pipeline, SCLN also aims to address the serious unmet medical needs for the treatment of melanoma, pancreatic cancer, oral mucositis and hepatitic C.

The Company stated that its latest stage opportunity is ready for a phase 3 trial that will evaluate thymalfasin (thymosin-alpha 1) as a therapy for stage IV melanoma. The global market is estimated at $200 million. If the targeted patient group can be extended to the adjuvant setting through additional clinical trials, SCLN believes the market opportunity could increase by approximately $500 million.

SCLN entered into an exclusive licensing agreement with APR Applied Pharma Research S.A., granting the company the commercialization and distribution rights to the anti-nausea drug ondansetron RapidFilmTM in China and Vietnam, for which the Company is seeking regulatory approval. The Company plans to file for product registration with China’s State Food and Drug Administration (SFDA) in 2010, and expects to obtain regulatory approval in 2011.

Aside from growth opportunities in China and Vietnam, the Company also looks to develop Zadaxin in certain countries as an enhancer of novel H1N1 flu vaccines for immune-compromised populations. SCLN CEO Friedhelm Blobel, Ph.D., stated that “this plan entails many uncertainties, therefore we have not reflected additional sales or earnings in our updated 2009 guidance, but we are building inventories to address the potential increased demand associated with this difficult healthcare situation.”

Following its robust financial results for the second quarter of 2009, the Company anticipates a revenue increase of approximately 28% to 31%, or between $69 million and $71 million, for the rest of 2009, although quarterly sales growth is expected to return to levels more consistent with its established business. With its R&D focus going forward, the Company expects to increase expenses in the second half of 2009 associated with H1N1 animal and, potentially, human studies; timing of other clinical development expenses; and costs of in-licensing products for China.

Technical Analysis

Source: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui

Last Tuesday, SCLN set a new 52-week high during the trading session when it reached $50.27. Over this period, the share price is up 228.08%.

Currently, the MACD for SCLN indicates a strong bullish signal for two reasons. First, the MACD is above the signal line, a 9-day moving average. Second, the MACD is above 0, which implies that the underlying moving averages are trending higher.

SCLN is trading above its 13-day moving average. This is considered to be the sign of a bullish trend. There is added weight to this indication because the moving average is rising and suggests that there has been buying interest in this stock.

Trading within its Bollinger Bands, the OTC stock reflects neither an overbought nor oversold condition relative to its recent price trend.

Comparative Analysis

SCLN has a positive Return on Assets of 9.21%, compared with an industry average of 2%; and Return on Investment of 10.92%, compared with an industry average of 2.51%; and a Return on Equity of 11.05%, compared with an industry average of 4.33%.

Company Name

Ticker

Price per

Mrkt. Cap.

P/E

P/S

Sept-01-2009

symbol

Share, $

$ Mn

2009

2010

2009

2010

Amgen Inc.

AMGN

58.95

60,100

13.96

11.56

4.09

3.86

Schering-Plough Corp.

SGP

27.53

45,100

18.62

13.97

2.53

2.38

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

VRTX

36.32

6,500

11.27

12.75

44.10

38.69

InterMune Inc.

ITMN

15.40

702.7

5.57

7.72

15.17

7.18

Anadys Pharmaceuticals Inc.

ANDS

2.64

94.8

2.82

3.30

948

18.62

Dynavax Technologies Corp.

DVAX

1.73

67.9

122.71

84.49

1.19

1.74

Celldex Therapeutics Inc.

CLDX

5.46

87.2

2.76

5.05

7.44

3.04

Novavax Inc.

NVAX

5.52

547.6

16.62

19

1,923.29

5,476

Hemispherx BioPharma Inc.

HEB

2.03

257.5

15

19.0

3,012.48

25.60

Enzon Pharmaceuticals Inc.

ENZN

7.81

340.7

30.91

28.53

1.74

1.64

Median

14.48

13.36

11.305

5.52

SciClone Pharmaceuticals Inc.

SCLN

49.62

221.72

43.67

3.06

3.28

2.81

Source: Reuters.com


Insider Trading Activity

NET SHARE PURCHASE ACTIVITY

Insider Purchases – Last 6 Months

Shares

Trans

Purchases

19,625

3

Sales

N/A

0

Net Shares Purchased
(Sold)

19,625

3

Total Insider Shares Held

17.32M

N/A

% Net Shares Purchased
(Sold)

0.1%

N/A

Net Institutional Purchases – Prior Qtr to Latest Qtr

Shares

Net Shares Purchased (Sold)

2,421,040

% Change in Institutional Shares Held

25.0%

Data provided by Thomson Financial

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One Response to “Trading Outlook for SciClone Pharmaceuticals Inc. (SCLN)”

  1. 1
    Hepatitis treatment blog - hepatitis c, health, treatment, drugs, hdv » Trading Outlook for SciClone Pharmaceuticals Inc. (SCLN) | Hot … Says:

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